Sunday, May 10, 2009

India Ahead in Recovery as per PMI for April 09


As per PMI (Purchasing Managers Index)data India has scored 53.27 for April up from 49.46 in Mar 09. A score above 50 represents expansion and less than50 contraction.  India fared even better than china which scored 50.05 and 44.83 for the above months respectively. India and China are the only two major developing countries posting scores above 50. Other major developed economies like US, Japan and European economies are way behind.
Imagine if Indian Govt were to announce a stimulus package of 585 billion $ as announced by Chinese Govt.(which is 1/7th of GDP) What India could have achieved????? India’s stimulus package was not even 10 billion $(which is not even 1/100th of GDP) India is surely ahead of others in recovery.  So I think we are passing this Global Economic Crisis with milder effect than others. Two main reasons for this are lesser export to GDP ratio which is less than 20% for India compared to more than 40% for China and domestic consumption Led Economic growth.